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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Margerison

Team: Bebington ParkDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

629

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

18

Matches Played

1

Wins

17

Losses

6%

Win Rate

2.0

Avg Win Margin

13.1

Avg Loss Margin

1-8

Home Record

0-9

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
6 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/22/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (6 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 18 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

3 Jul12 Jul24 Jul15 Aug13 Jun7 Jun3 Aug22 Jul-1371115

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(35%)
17%
score-0.67→contribution-0.23
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
2.0
score-1.00→contribution-0.23
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.4
score-0.73→contribution-0.11
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
17%
score-0.67→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(15%)
861
score-0.84→contribution-0.13
Weighted Score-0.781
Sample Size Confidence
80%(6/33 matches)
Rating688 → shrunk 750→ adjusted 625
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)675
Recency Blend8% (6 recent matches)
Final Rating629
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W17L18 matches·5.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bebington Park2018–2026Division B, Division C181175.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/22/2026Carl AshworthA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
6/25/2026Adam HughesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
8/24/2023Pat MclaughlinA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/3/2023Ailsa CurryH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/29/2023Tracy HughesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/7/2023vs Pensby CA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision C
6/17/2021Alan HughesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/13/2019Alan HoughtonH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
6/6/2019Michael HuddartH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
8/21/2018Ian PovallH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
8/15/2018vs Pensby CA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
8/14/2018John HenshallH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/26/2018Peter LucasA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/24/2018George GouldingA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/19/2018Jean JenkinsH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/12/2018Alan MathewsH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
7/4/2018Bernie LearA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/3/2018vs Pensby CH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

13

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Pensby C0330%6/7/2023
Carl Ashworth0110%7/22/2026
Adam Hughes0110%6/25/2026
Pat Mclaughlin0110%8/24/2023
Ailsa Curry0110%8/3/2023
Tracy Hughes101100%6/29/2023
Alan Hughes0110%6/17/2021
Alan Houghton0110%6/13/2019
Michael Huddart0110%6/6/2019
Ian Povall0110%8/21/2018
Biggest Win
Tracy Hughes (+2)6/29/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-19)6/7/2023
Nemesis
Pensby C0-3 H2H
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 11%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7939 known · 9 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-811% win rate

By Division

Division C1-15 (6%)
Division B0-2 (0%)
Division B0%
0W·2L·2 played
Division C6.3%
1W·15L·16 played

Debut

Jul 3, 2018

Latest

Jul 22, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (8.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

3.6 (18 total)

Seasons

20182019202120232026